Prediction for Scotland Vote

Looking at the campaign overall, WfaAR predicts for NO at around 55 percent to around 45 percent YES, the same result as the 1999 republic referendum result in Australia.The economic and defence aspects of this decision, the need to be bigger rather…

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On Eve of Scottish Independence Referendum

Three polls out today and remarkably uniform – 48 percent YES and 52 percent NO. Reports of 5 percent still undecided. The postal vote return is very high, around 90 percent. Another poll shows 41 percent YES and 44 percent NO…

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Women’s YES Vote Shift in Scotland

Here are some insights from Libby Brooks, Scottish reporter for The Guardian “Why Scotland’s Women are Swinging Towards YES in Independence Vote”, interviews with female voters – click on link below : working class and Labour voters moving strongly to YES in last weeks;…

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Indigenous Recognition Referendum Delayed Until 2017

The Indigenous Affairs Minister says that the referendum will now be held “in clear space” after the next election. Over the last week, the Government has been dampening expectations that the original timetable (this term) will be met and that the proposed…

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Queen to Intervene in Scottish Vote?

There is nothing to stop the Queen from speaking but it’s unlikely that she would, given that she sees “the referendum as a matter entirely for the Scottish people to decide” (sounds familiar).  In 1977, when Scotland and Wales were voting on devolved national…

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Women’s YES Vote in Scotland Shoots Up

The YES vote is now ahead in the polls by 51 to 49 excluding undecideds (YES at 44 if they are included).  The new poll identifies a record high of 47 percent support among women almost wiping out the gender gap between male and…

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More on the Scottish Referendum Vote Gender Gap

Here’s Rachel Ormston writing on the What Scotland Thinks blog: “The ‘gender gap’ in support for independence has become one of the best known features of Scotland’s political landscape in the run up to the referendum. Women have long been…

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Poll shows big increase for YES in Scotland

A new Scottish poll out today shows a significant four point shift towards YES, narrowing the NO lead from 22 points to 14. YES  is at 42 percent (+4); NO 48 percent (-3); Don’t Know or Won’t Vote 10 percent (-1)….

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Hotting Up – 18 Days to Scottish Independence Referendum

Things are getting exciting with the YES vote suddenly increasing although polls are still showing it below 50 percent. A turnout of 80 percent – or more – is expected (non-compulsory voting for all Scottish residents; you can’t vote if you live…

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All Female Panel at Vic ARM Event

ABC sports journalist Angela Pippos, was funny and engaging; federal Labor MP for Hotham since 2013, Clare O’Neil did a number on the British royals while historian and author Dr Clare Wright quoted the republican passion of Dublin-born actress Clara Seekamp c1819-1908, temporary editor of the Ballarat…

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