A new Scottish poll out today shows a significant four point shift towards YES, narrowing the NO lead from 22 points to 14. YES is at 42 percent (+4); NO 48 percent (-3); Don’t Know or Won’t Vote 10 percent (-1). Excluding Don’t Knows, YES is 47 percent (+4); NO is 53 percent (-4). Over the last month, the referendum choice has narrowed from a consistent NO lead of 20 points to 6 points. The sudden sharp narrowing of the gap suggests something’s afoot. As UKPolling commented “we should be careful of reading too much into a single poll – it’s the wider trend that counts – but it looks like this may go right down to the wire.”
WfaAR comments: This is riveting stuff. Nothing like active democracy, where governments are constantly interacting with their voters, to get the blood running and enthrall. Australia should be doing much more of this instead of running terrified of referendum losses and only daring to put questions once. This will take political leadership and guts, much more what we’ve got now.
